Pérolas Negrasvs
Santa Cruz RJ
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Rio · 6/23/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pérolas Negras · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Pérolas Negras are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Santa Cruz RJ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pérolas Negras hold a 51.3-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the Copa Rio, while Pérolas Negras holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pérolas Negras
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Pérolas Negras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80