GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Rio · 7/15/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pérolas Negras · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Pérolas Negras are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while CFRJ / Maricá are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pérolas Negras hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Copa Rio, while Pérolas Negras holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pérolas Negras

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Pérolas Negras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pérolas NegrasWWLLW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CFRJ / MaricáLWDLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pérolas NegrasCFRJ / Maricá
83.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence75.0
58.3Form58.3
64.4Power56.1
1.22xG0.80
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