GGOALVIO

Romania · Cupa României · 8/12/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Progresul Spartac · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Progresul Spartac are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Metaloglobus are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Progresul Spartac hold a 32.3-point power-rating edge (91.7 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Cupa României, while Progresul Spartac holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Progresul Spartac

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

9.2%

Progresul Spartac has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Progresul SpartacWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MetaloglobusLDWDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Progresul SpartacMetaloglobus
83.3Attack66.7
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form50.0
91.7Power59.3
2.31xG1.50
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