ProgresovsDeportivo Maldonado

Progreso are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Deportivo Maldonado are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold a 25.9-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.6% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.