Progresovs
Cerro Largo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 5/3/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cerro Largo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Progreso are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cerro Largo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Largo hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.7% in the Primera División, while Cerro Largo holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cerro Largo
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
21.7%
Cerro Largo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00