GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 2/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Central Espanol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Progreso are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Central Espanol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Central Espanol hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Primera División, while Central Espanol holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Central Espanol

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Central Espanol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ProgresoLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Central EspanolDWWLW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ProgresoCentral Espanol
26.1Attack40.6
49.3Defence62.3
23.2Form52.2
36.0Power53.4
0.60xG1.19
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