GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 5/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Progreso are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atletico Torque are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Torque hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Primera División, while Atletico Torque holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Torque

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ProgresoLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico TorqueWLWWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ProgresoAtletico Torque
26.1Attack50.0
49.3Defence59.1
23.2Form53.0
36.0Power55.5
0.64xG1.47
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