Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albion FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Progreso are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Albion FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Albion FC hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.6% in the Primera División, while Albion FC holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Albion FC
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
18.6%
Albion FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00