Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albion FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Progreso are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Albion FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Albion FC hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.6% in the Primera División, while Albion FC holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Albion FC
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
18.6%
Albion FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00