GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Progres Niederkorn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Progres Niederkorn are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Thionville Lusitanos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Progres Niederkorn hold a 49.1-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Progres Niederkorn holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Progres Niederkorn

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Progres Niederkorn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Progres NiederkornLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Thionville LusitanosWLLLW

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Progres NiederkornThionville Lusitanos
66.7Attack0.0
66.7Defence66.7
77.8Form0.0
72.8Power23.7
2.22xG1.17
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