GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Progres Niederkorn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Progres Niederkorn are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Excelsior Virton are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Progres Niederkorn hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Progres Niederkorn holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Progres Niederkorn

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Progres Niederkorn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Progres NiederkornLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 18 · avg 0.60/3.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Excelsior VirtonWWLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Progres NiederkornExcelsior Virton
66.7Attack55.6
66.7Defence44.4
77.8Form33.3
72.8Power45.5
2.22xG1.31
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