Progres Niederkornvs
AS Jeunesse Esch
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Progres Niederkorn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Progres Niederkorn are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while AS Jeunesse Esch are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Progres Niederkorn hold a 61.8-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the National Division, while Progres Niederkorn holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Progres Niederkorn
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Progres Niederkorn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20