Probiy Horodenkavs
Chernihiv
COMPLETEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chernihiv · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Probiy Horodenka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chernihiv are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Persha Liga, while Chernihiv holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chernihiv
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Chernihiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60