Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ballkani · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Prishtina are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ballkani are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ballkani hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 69.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.5% in the Superliga, while Ballkani holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ballkani
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
22.5%
Ballkani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00