Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aresimi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Primorje are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Aresimi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Aresimi hold a 49.0-point power-rating edge (14.0 v 62.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Aresimi holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aresimi
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Aresimi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60