Primavera MGvs
Luverdense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Primavera MG are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Luverdense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Luverdense hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40