Primavera MGvs
Inhumas
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Primavera MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Primavera MG are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Inhumas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Primavera MG hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 20.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.5% in the Serie D, while Primavera MG holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Primavera MG
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
18.5%
Primavera MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60