Primavera MGvs
Brasiliense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 6/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Primavera MG are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Brasiliense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Brasiliense hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40