GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 4/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Preston Lions · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Preston Lions are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while South Melbourne are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Preston Lions hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Victoria NPL, while Preston Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Preston Lions

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Preston Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Preston LionsLWDLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
South MelbourneWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Preston LionsSouth Melbourne
50.0Attack52.8
72.7Defence54.2
65.2Form56.9
63.6Power54.7
1.53xG0.81
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