GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 5/8/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Preston Lions · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Preston Lions are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dandenong City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Preston Lions hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Victoria NPL, while Preston Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Preston Lions

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Preston Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Preston LionsWWDLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dandenong CityLLWWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Preston LionsDandenong City
50.0Attack44.4
72.7Defence59.7
65.2Form45.8
63.6Power51.1
1.37xG0.68
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