Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PEPO · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
PPJ are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while PEPO are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and PEPO hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 61.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while PEPO holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PEPO
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
10.8%
PEPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00