Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PPJ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
PPJ are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while MyPa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and PPJ hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 31.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while PPJ holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PPJ
Probability
76.7%
Model confidence
9.5%
PPJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60