Pouso Alegrevs
Portuguesa
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portuguesa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Pouso Alegre are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Portuguesa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa hold a 31.3-point power-rating edge (34.0 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the Serie D, while Portuguesa holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portuguesa
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Portuguesa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60