Pouso AlegrevsAmérica RJ

Pouso Alegre are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while América RJ are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and América RJ hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (34.0 v 37.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.