Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zrinjski · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Posušje are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Zrinjski are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Zrinjski hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (20.2 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Zrinjski holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zrinjski
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Zrinjski has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60