Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Velež · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Posušje are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Velež are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Velež hold a 47.3-point power-rating edge (20.2 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Velež holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Velež
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Velež has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00