Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sesvete · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Posušje are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sesvete are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sesvete hold a 44.4-point power-rating edge (20.2 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sesvete holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sesvete
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Sesvete has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00