Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Team Helm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Poseidon are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Team Helm are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 7.80 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Team Helm hold a 53.3-point power-rating edge (15.0 v 68.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the Cup, while Team Helm holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Team Helm
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Team Helm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 39 · GA 21 · avg 7.80/4.20