GGOALVIO

Estonia · Cup · 8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kalju Nomme · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

Poseidon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Kalju Nomme are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kalju Nomme hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 77.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Cup, while Kalju Nomme holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kalju Nomme

Probability

58.4%

Model confidence

7.2%

Kalju Nomme has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PoseidonDLWWL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Kalju NommeWWWLD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PoseidonKalju Nomme
66.7Attack100.0
33.3Defence60.0
33.3Form80.0
45.3Power77.5
1.84xG3.01
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