Portuguesavs
Madureira
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portuguesa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Portuguesa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Madureira are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the Serie D, while Portuguesa holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portuguesa
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
Portuguesa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40