GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 7/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Portuguesa RJ are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sao Jose are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa RJ hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portuguesa RJLWDLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sao JoseWDDWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Portuguesa RJSao Jose
42.9Attack23.5
71.4Defence74.5
45.2Form45.1
53.7Power50.6
0.71xG0.38
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