Portuguesa RJvs
Sao Jose
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 7/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Portuguesa RJ are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sao Jose are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa RJ hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40