GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portuguesa RJ · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Portuguesa RJ are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pouso Alegre are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa RJ hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Serie D, while Portuguesa RJ holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portuguesa RJ

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

58.5%

Portuguesa RJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portuguesa RJDWDLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pouso AlegreLLWLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Portuguesa RJPouso Alegre
42.9Attack20.0
71.4Defence53.3
45.2Form23.3
53.7Power34.0
1.36xG0.36
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