Portugaletevs
Barakaldo
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/14/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portugalete · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Portugalete are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Barakaldo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Portugalete hold a 39.2-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Portugalete holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portugalete
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Portugalete has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.67
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80