GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/14/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portugalete · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Portugalete are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Barakaldo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Portugalete hold a 39.2-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Portugalete holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portugalete

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

47.5%

Portugalete has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PortugaleteDWL

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
BarakaldoDWWLW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PortugaleteBarakaldo
66.7Attack33.3
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form55.6
88.7Power49.5
2.07xG1.05
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