GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vitória ES · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Porto BA are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Vitória ES are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitória ES hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (34.8 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.6% in the Serie D, while Vitória ES holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vitória ES

Probability

56.6%

Model confidence

56.6%

Vitória ES has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Porto BALWLWL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Vitória ESWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Porto BAVitória ES
30.0Attack36.1
30.0Defence72.2
33.3Form50.0
34.8Power54.0
0.51xG1.46
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