GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Democrata GV · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Porto BA are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWLW), averaging 1.25 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Democrata GV are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Democrata GV hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (34.8 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Serie D, while Democrata GV holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Democrata GV

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

Democrata GV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Porto BALWLW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.25/3.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 4/4
Democrata GVDWLDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Porto BADemocrata GV
30.0Attack41.7
30.0Defence63.9
33.3Form50.0
34.8Power53.6
0.66xG1.68
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