Portland Timbersvs
Seattle Sounders
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/2/2026, 2:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Portland Timbers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Seattle Sounders are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.4 against 49.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Portland Timbers holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Timbers
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40