GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/24/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Portland Timbers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland TimbersLDWLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
San Jose EarthquakesLLDDW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes
61.1Attack66.7
38.9Defence52.6
44.4Form57.9
48.4Power58.9
1.82xG2.32
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