Portland Timbersvs
Real Salt Lake
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 7/26/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Portland Timbers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Real Salt Lake are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Salt Lake hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Salt Lake
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20