GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 8/7/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Portland Timbers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Puebla are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and portland Timbers hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the Leagues Cup, favouring Portland Timbers with 9.7% confidence, a 66% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Timbers

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

9.7%

Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland TimbersWWDWL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
PueblaDLWLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Portland TimbersPuebla
100.0Attack33.3
16.7Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
54.2Power18.3
2.32xG1.31
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