GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 7/23/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Portland Timbers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Dallas are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dallas hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Dallas holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Dallas

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland TimbersWLLDW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC DallasWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Portland TimbersFC Dallas
61.1Attack59.3
38.9Defence53.7
44.4Form50.0
48.4Power55.6
1.80xG2.04
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