Portland Timbersvs
Columbus Crew
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 2/22/2026, 3:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Portland Timbers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Columbus Crew are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Major League Soccer, while Portland Timbers holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Timbers
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00