GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/22/2026, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Portland Timbers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Columbus Crew are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Major League Soccer, while Portland Timbers holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Timbers

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland TimbersWLDDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Columbus CrewLWLWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Portland TimbersColumbus Crew
61.1Attack48.1
38.9Defence48.1
44.4Form37.0
48.4Power46.3
2.08xG1.61
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