Portland Timbersvs
Club Tijuana
COMPLETEDWorld · Leagues Cup · 8/14/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Portland Timbers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Club Tijuana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Leagues Cup, while Portland Timbers holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Timbers
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
10.6%
Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80