GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 8/14/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Portland Timbers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Club Tijuana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Leagues Cup, while Portland Timbers holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Timbers

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

10.6%

Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland TimbersLWWWD

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Club TijuanaLLDWW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Portland TimbersClub Tijuana
100.0Attack0.0
16.7Defence50.0
50.0Form0.0
54.2Power21.5
2.04xG1.29
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