GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/14/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Timbers II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Portland Timbers II are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Minnesota United II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers II hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the MLS Next Pro, while Portland Timbers II holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Timbers II

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Portland Timbers II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland Timbers IIDWDWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Minnesota United IILDWWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Portland Timbers IIMinnesota United II
42.4Attack45.5
63.6Defence47.0
63.6Form42.4
58.4Power46.8
1.54xG0.89
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