Portland Thorns Wvs
San Diego Wave W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 4/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Thorns W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Portland Thorns W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while San Diego Wave W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.6 against 55.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the NWSL Women, while Portland Thorns W holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Thorns W
Probability
34.4%
Model confidence
34.4%
Portland Thorns W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80