Portland Thorns Wvs
Orlando Pride W
SCHEDULEDUSA · NWSL Women · 8/16/2026, 12:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Thorns W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Portland Thorns W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Orlando Pride W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Thorns W hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the NWSL Women, while Portland Thorns W holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Thorns W
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
12.5%
Portland Thorns W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00