GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/16/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Thorns W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Portland Thorns W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Orlando Pride W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Thorns W hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the NWSL Women, while Portland Thorns W holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Thorns W

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

12.5%

Portland Thorns W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland Thorns WWLDLL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Orlando Pride WLLWLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Portland Thorns WOrlando Pride W
51.9Attack40.4
53.7Defence49.1
51.9Form40.4
53.2Power44.7
1.74xG1.00
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