GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 7/25/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NJ/NY Gotham FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Portland Thorns W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while NJ/NY Gotham FC W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and NJ/NY Gotham FC W hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 66.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the NWSL Women, while NJ/NY Gotham FC W holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

NJ/NY Gotham FC W

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

NJ/NY Gotham FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland Thorns WLLWDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NJ/NY Gotham FC WWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Portland Thorns WNJ/NY Gotham FC W
56.1Attack43.3
50.9Defence78.3
54.4Form71.7
54.6Power66.6
0.90xG1.21
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