GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 7/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Omaha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Portland Hearts of Pine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Union Omaha are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the USL League One, while Union Omaha holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Omaha

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

11.5%

Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland Hearts of PineLDWWL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Union OmahaDLWLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Portland Hearts of PineUnion Omaha
50.9Attack56.7
42.1Defence63.3
36.8Form68.3
44.5Power64.7
1.13xG1.93
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