GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/30/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spokane Velocity · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Portland Hearts of Pine are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Spokane Velocity are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Spokane Velocity hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the USL League One, while Spokane Velocity holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spokane Velocity

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

13.4%

Spokane Velocity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland Hearts of PineDWDLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Spokane VelocityWWWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Portland Hearts of PineSpokane Velocity
50.9Attack43.9
42.1Defence59.6
36.8Form56.1
44.5Power54.3
1.28xG1.45
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