Portland Hearts of Pinevs
Greenville Triumph
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 5/23/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Hearts of Pine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Portland Hearts of Pine are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Greenville Triumph are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Hearts of Pine hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the USL League One, while Portland Hearts of Pine holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Hearts of Pine
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Portland Hearts of Pine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20