GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 8/16/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forward Madison · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Mediumconfidence

Portland Hearts of Pine are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Forward Madison are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 65.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forward Madison

Probability

63.1%

Model confidence

10.0%

Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland Hearts of PineLDLLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Forward MadisonLWWWW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Portland Hearts of PineForward Madison
50.9Attack68.5
42.1Defence64.8
36.8Form64.8
44.5Power65.5
1.08xG2.33
View match centre →